UFC 318 Fight Preview - Holloway vs. Poirier: Who will win the BMF title to end this trilogy? July 18, 2025 by Marc Jerbs

Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier are set to clash for a third time in the main event of UFC 318, taking place on July 19, 2025, at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. This eagerly awaited trilogy bout will be contested for the symbolic “BMF” title and serves as the retirement fight for Dustin Poirier, adding emotional weight to an already explosive matchup.

Rivalry Recap: The Story So Far

The rivalry dates back to UFC 143 in 2012, where a young Holloway made his promotional debut but fell to Poirier via first-round triangle armbar. Their rematch came seven years later at UFC 236, with the interim lightweight championship on the line. Poirier emerged victorious once again, defeating Holloway by unanimous decision in a brutal five-round war that ended Holloway's 13-fight win streak.

With Poirier holding a 2-0 edge, UFC 318 represents a critical opportunity for Holloway to not only finally get a win over his rival but also spoil Poirier's farewell at 155 pounds.

Holloway vs. Poirier Sports Bet Odds

Max "Blessed" Holloway is the favorite to win the match. Here are our latest odds:

• Holloway as the favorite has a money line of -138 while Poirier as the underdog has +118.
• Blessed winning by KO/TKO or DQ has a money line of +385.
• Poirier pinning Holloway via submission has a money line of +1000.

Road to UFC 318: Fighters' Form and Momentum

Max Holloway
The former featherweight king and reigning BMF champion, Holloway returns to lightweight after a TKO loss to Ilia Topuria in late 2024. Unfazed, Holloway bounced back with a spectacular knockout win over Justin Gaethje, showcasing his evolved striking and patience at 155 pounds. Known for his elite volume striking, technical skill, and iron will, Holloway comes into this fight as a rejuvenated and dangerous contender.

Dustin Poirier
A beloved veteran and future Hall of Famer, Poirier is fresh off a submission loss to Islam Makhachev at UFC 302. Despite dealing with lingering injuries—broken ribs and a torn bicep among them—Poirier remains one of the most respected and dangerous fighters in the sport. With signature wins over the likes of Conor McGregor and Gaethje, Poirier's well-rounded arsenal and fight IQ remain elite. Now, he seeks to close out his storied career with a third win over Holloway in front of his hometown crowd.

Fight Preview and Expectations

Analysts see UFC 318 as a clash of evolving styles and career momentum. Holloway, the younger and fresher of the two, has polished his already elite boxing with better timing, movement, and shot selection. His recent performances suggest a fighter still improving and adapting.

Poirier, though battling wear-and-tear, still boasts dangerous power, crisp boxing, and underrated grappling. Add the adrenaline of fighting at home in New Orleans, and Poirier remains a formidable challenge.

Key Factors:

Holloway's Strengths: Superior volume, hand speed, cardio, and counter-striking

Poirier's Edge: More power, reach, and grappling versatility, plus the emotional fuel of a farewell fight

Many experts are leaning toward Holloway to win—possibly by decision or late stoppage—thanks to his recent improvements and motivation. Yet, Poirier's grit and legacy make him a dangerous wild card who could rise to the occasion one final time.

What's at Stake

Redemption vs. Legacy: Holloway aims to avoid a 0-3 deficit and reinforce his claim as one of the best at lightweight, while Poirier looks to ride off into the sunset with a final victory over a fierce rival.

BMF Title Prestige: Though symbolic, the belt adds fire to the narrative and significance to the outcome.

Home Turf Advantage: With the New Orleans crowd behind him, Poirier enjoys a rare emotional edge.

In Summary:

UFC 318 promises fireworks as two elite warriors meet for one last chapter in their storied rivalry. Expect a high-octane battle of precision vs. power, volume vs. grit, with legacy, redemption, and emotion all on the line.

Holloway vs. Poirier Tale of the Tape

Max 'Blessed' Holloway	VS	Dustin 'The Diamond' Poirier
26-8-0	Record	30-9-0, 1NC
Loss	Last Fight	Loss
United States	Country	United States
5' 11"	Height	5' 9"
172.6 LBS	Weight	164.0 LBS
69.0"	Reach	72.0"
42.0"	Leg Reach	40.5"
47%	Significant Strikes	50%
59%	Strikes Defense	52%
53%	Takedown Accuracy	36%
83%	Takedown Defense	64%